Community Windpower state:
We are not convinced that Community Windpower has a full grasp of the technical issues here, but we interpret their statement as assuming a Load Factor (or Capacity Factor as BWEA call it) of 29%. The usual figure suggested by BWEA is 30% which may or may not be an optimistic average for the windfarms generally, but the load factor achievable at a given site is primarily a function of the local wind climate and topography The Windpower data supplied by the Renewable Energy Foundation for the existing windfarms in Cornwall for the years 2003-2007 has therefore been analysed in the table below
Capacity = the total installed capacity for each site | |||||||
| Site | Capacity | Total energy (MWh) per year | |||||
| (click for graphs) | (MW) | 2003 | 2004 | 2005 | 2006 | 2007 | Total |
| Bears Down | 9.6 | 23234 | 22763 | 22373 | 22498 | 22167 | |
| Carland Cross | 6.0 | 14099 | 13848 | 13811 | 13987 | 12055 | |
| Cold Northcott | 6.8 | 13771 | 14524 | 13552 | 14340 | 13805 | |
| Delabole | 4.0 | 8771 | 8863 | 9266 | 9576 | 9119 | |
| Four Burrows | 4.5 | 8898 | 8573 | 8383 | 8394 | 8578 | |
| Goonhilly Downs | 5.6 | 10288 | 9373 | 9159 | 10319 | 9444 | |
| St. Breock | 5.0 | 11780 | 11778 | 11189 | 11010 | 10174 | |
| Totals | 41.5 | 90841 | 89722 | 87733 | 90124 | 85342 | 443762 |
| Load factors (%) | 25.0 | 24.7 | 24.1 | 24.8 | 23.5 | 24.4 | |
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This analysis indicates that Load Factor of 25% would be more appropriate. If Community Windpower are trying to show the benefits to the planet from this development, then the onus is on them to provide correct information and in this case demonstrate that their assumed load factor can be achieved in Cornwall
Nor are we convinced by their numbers of homes that could be supplied. The table below shows domestic consumption in Cornwall for the year 2007 (source) |
| Area | Domestic Elecrtical Consumption in 2007 (GWh) |
No of Homes | MWh /home |
|
| Caradon | 208.6 | 39200 | 5.3 | |
| Carrick | 233.8 | 43800 | 5.3 | |
| Isles of Scilly | 8.6 | 1200 | 7.2 | |
| Kerrier | 241.3 | 44300 | 5.4 | |
| North Cornwall | 241.6 | 42600 | 5.7 | |
| Penwith | 165.2 | 33600 | 4.9 | |
| Restormel | 259.4 | 45600 | 5.7 | |
| Total | 1358.5 | 250300 | 5.4 |
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Assuming a load factor of 25%, a total installed capacity of 50 MW at Davidstow could produce
109.5 GWh of electricity per year, enough for 20,300 average homes in Cornwall
(somewhat less than the developer's figure). However the occupants of these homes would no doubt
want to use their electricity even when the wind was not blowing. Therefore a back-up capacity
of 50MW would need to be available somewhere else on the National Grid
(note that the wind industry disputes this)
As for the CO2 saving, The British Wind Energy Association (who appear to be the principal advisor to the Government on matters relating to windpower) have now admitted that the figure they had previously advised as being the saving for CO2 emissions was incorrect as it was at least twice the real amount. The actual figure should be 430 grams CO2 per kilowatt hour On that assumption, the Davidstow site would save 109500 x 0.43 = 47000 tonnes per annum Furthermore no mention is made of the extra carbon produced by the back-up plant running at less than optimum efficiency, so the actual amount saved would be even less
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